A new national opinion poll shows President William Ruto remains ahead of other potential contenders as Kenyans weigh their presidential choices, even as many voters say they are yet to make a final decision.
The end-of-year survey by Infotrak, released on Sunday, December 28, indicates that 28 per cent of respondents would vote for Ruto if an election were held today, placing him firmly at the top of the list.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i followed in second place with 13 per cent support, while Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka was close behind at 12 per cent. Embakasi East MP Babu Owino attracted seven per cent backing, as former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua registered five per cent.
At the lower end of the rankings, People’s Liberation Party leader Martha Karua and former Chief Justice David Maraga each received two per cent support, leaving them tied in the survey results.
Even with these figures, the poll points to uncertainty among voters. A quarter of those interviewed said they had not chosen a preferred candidate, while four per cent opted not to reveal their position.
The findings also shed light on how Kenyans relate to current political alliances. According to the survey, 32 per cent of respondents feel closest to the broad-based government led by Ruto.
The United Opposition coalition, associated with Gachagua, Karua, Kalonzo Musyoka and Eugene Wamalwa, was favoured by 22 per cent of respondents.
Meanwhile, 17 per cent said they identify with the Kenya Moja alliance led by Trans Nzoia Governor George Natembeya, Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, and MPs Babu Owino, Gathoni Wamuchomba and Ndindi Nyoro.
However, political formations appear to have limited pull for a large section of the public. The survey shows that 29 per cent of respondents do not feel close to any of the three groupings.
On party preference, the ruling United Democratic Alliance maintained its position as the most popular party, drawing 23 per cent support. The Orange Democratic Movement followed with 19 per cent.
Six per cent of respondents said they feel closest to the newly launched Democracy for Citizens Party led by Gachagua, while five per cent expressed preference for the Jubilee Party. The Wiper Patriotic Front was selected by four per cent of those surveyed.
Infotrak said the poll was carried out between December 19 and 20, 2025. The study sampled 1,000 respondents from all 47 counties, covering Kenya’s eight regions.
